1200 words (13 minutes reading time) by Colin Weatherby

A research article in the Australian Journal of Public Administration, titled ‘The other side of the local government ledger — The association between revenue growth and population growth,’ raises a crucial red flag for all councils currently grappling with population growth. The study, by Professor Joseph Drew and his colleagues, sheds light on the relationship between population growth and local government revenue. Professor Drew has made a video explaining the findings of the paper.

In local government, you hear a lot of talk about the rate cap, a limitation on property taxation imposed by the State government on councils, and the impact it is having on councils’ ability to fund services. I have posted previously on what I think councils should be doing in response to the spending gap arising from the rate cap. Most discussion in the sector has focused on the impact on expenditure.

Professor Joseph Drew and his colleagues are suggesting it is equally important, perhaps more important, to understand the impact on unit revenue. Unit revenue, representing the per capita revenue generated by a council, becomes pivotal when service demand stems from individuals residing in the municipality rather than the properties they occupy. The potential mismatch between service consumption drivers and revenue generators poses a substantial financial sustainability risk.

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